Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.035925 0.042078 0.048863 0.056886 0.066097 0.076327 0.088533
2025-04-20 0.027816 0.036094 0.046082 0.058960 0.075056 0.094438 0.119466
2025-04-27 0.022187 0.031526 0.043722 0.060671 0.083447 0.112801 0.153272
2025-05-04 0.017057 0.026361 0.039425 0.058854 0.086707 0.124825 0.180473
2025-05-11 0.013677 0.022818 0.036523 0.058180 0.091053 0.138458 0.211177
2025-05-18 0.010893 0.019536 0.033311 0.056339 0.093170 0.148871 0.238205
2025-05-25 0.008882 0.017042 0.030813 0.055052 0.095714 0.159904 0.267045
2025-06-01 0.007569 0.015454 0.029472 0.055329 0.100601 0.174855 0.303245
2025-06-08 0.006267 0.013608 0.027345 0.053868 0.102268 0.184619 0.331882
2025-06-15 0.005735 0.013132 0.027594 0.056622 0.111480 0.207732 0.384755
2025-06-22 0.004972 0.012029 0.026461 0.056599 0.115607 0.222398 0.424408
2025-06-29 0.004193 0.010724 0.024703 0.055078 0.116680 0.231633 0.455180
2025-07-06 0.003559 0.009632 0.023239 0.054000 0.118600 0.242840 0.491089
2025-07-13 0.003309 0.009399 0.023587 0.056757 0.128495 0.269991 0.559186
2025-07-20 0.003035 0.009049 0.023618 0.058827 0.137211 0.295693 0.626825
2025-07-27 0.002577 0.008115 0.022128 0.057271 0.138055 0.305902 0.665187
2025-08-03 0.002243 0.007440 0.021142 0.056722 0.140990 0.320559 0.713620
2025-08-10 0.001902 0.006659 0.019749 0.054977 0.141003 0.329094 0.750244
2025-08-17 0.001634 0.006030 0.018637 0.053746 0.142017 0.339790 0.792198
2025-08-24 0.001461 0.005657 0.018149 0.054031 0.146632 0.358677 0.853047
2025-08-31 0.001253 0.005113 0.017078 0.052609 0.146905 0.367903 0.893663
2025-09-07 0.001197 0.005082 0.017499 0.055308 0.157777 0.402122 0.992226
2025-09-14 0.001069 0.004756 0.016974 0.055287 0.161689 0.420570 1.056753